李自圆
都市圈是大城市区域化发展到一定阶段后出现的城镇群空间现象。随着我国城市化的纵深发展,城乡之间的联系日益紧密,都市圈概念得到社会各界日益广泛的关注。在都市圈一体化发展背景下,传统结构单一、扁平化的公交网络已难以适应都市圈居民出行的新趋势和新变化,公交吸引力下降,客流持续走低等问题日益严峻。因此,解析都市圈空间背景下居民活动出行需求特征,探讨都市圈公交服务网络优化方法,对于提高公交服务的竞争力,推动都市圈公交系统可持续发展具有重要现实意义。
首先,针对都市圈概念混淆、范围界定尺度相异的问题,系统梳理美国、日本和国内都市圈相关文献,对都市圈概念进行了重新界定,并确定了“核+影响区” 的都市圈实质范围识别框架。基于空间相关性利用Landscan人口密度数据分析确定都市圈中心市区域;基于大规模手机信令数据,综合考虑生产生活联系和时空约束界定都市圈实质空间范围。将提出的方法应用于上海都市圈实质范围的识别。结果表明上海都市圈实质范围基本为上海市域范围,这对于都市圈发展政策的制定与实施具有一定的参考意义,也是都市圈公交网络规划的认知前提。
其次,运用复杂网络理论从供需两个层面分析上海都市圈实质范围内的交通网络特征,为公交网路优化提供思路和方向。需求层面,采用SVD分解从手机信令数据中提取稳定出行需求并构建出行网络。通过出行节点中心性的分析,发现居民出行活动呈现明显的分散式集聚特征,上海都市圈以五大新城为主的分散式多中心结构得到清晰的呈现。通过网络的空间分布特征分析,发现居民出行具有多距离尺度的多样化、多层次特征,短距离出行空间分布分散,长距离出行的集中性、向心性明显。出行需求的层次性特征反映出构建多层次公交网络的需求。供给层面,分别采用Space L和Space R空间网络模型构建加权公交站点网络和公交线路网络。一方面从宏观角度分析两个公交网络的拓扑结构特征,研究区域网络内整体的连接状态,结果表明公交网络呈现明显的局部聚类特征,但网络的整体连接性不强,长距离的市郊线路增强了网络的整体连通性。另一方面以多个中心性指标测度网络中的节点的重要性。结果说明网络中不同站点和线路的功能存在差异。但网络中缺乏中转衔接的节点,不利于出行者在整个网络中的移动。
最后,基于交通网络特征提出轴辐式多层次的都市圈公交网络优化布局方法。对网络布局的三个关键要素——都市圈空间结构划分、站点重要性评价与分级、枢纽站点识别进行研究。首先运用社区发现算法基于出行需求分布划分都市圈空间结构;其次建立综合考虑网络结构特征、站点空间位置特征和活动需求特征的多维度公交站点评价体系,采用加权TOPSIS 算法计算交通网络站点的重要性,并利用聚类算法根据站点重要性对站点进行分级;然后结合站点重要性和中心要素建立枢纽节点识别方法;最后运用该方法对上海都市圈实质范围内的跨区快线网络优化布局进行了实证检验。优化结果分析表明跨区网络在几乎不增加网络规模的情况下,较好地提高网络的连通性和可达性,增强网络中部分站点中转衔接能力,提高站点的利用效率。同时在简化网络结构和缩短线路长度基础上,可以进一步通过提高发车频率、增加调度灵活性,减少候车时间、提高公交服务可靠性和吸引力。
本文从数据驱动角度利用手机信令大数据界定都市圈实质空间范围,解析都市圈居民出行需求分布特征与规律,基于网络化出行理念对都市圈跨区公交服务网络进行优化,是对都市圈公交网络优化理论和方法的一种积极探索。
关键词:都市圈,出行需求特征,公交网络特征,枢纽站点识别,多层级公交服务网络优化
The metropolitan area is a spatial phenomenon that emerges after the regionalization of large cities reaches a certain stage. As urbanization deepens in our country, the connection between urban and rural areas becomes closer, making the concept of metropolitan area increasingly important. Under the context of metropolitan area's integrated development, the conventional single-structured and flat public transportation network has struggled to adapt to new trends and changes in travel patterns among metropolitan residents. The appeal of public transportation has waned, leading to a continuous decline in passenger flow and exacerbating other issues.
Firstly, in response to the confusion surrounding the concept of metropolitan areas and varying scopes of definition, a systematic review was conducted on literature pertaining to metropolitan areas in the United States, Japan, and China. This led to a redefinition of the concept of metropolitan areas and establishment of a framework for delimit metropolitan area. Based on spatial correlation, Landscan population density data analysis is utilized to determine the central city of the metropolitan area. Using a time-space binning method with large-scale mobile phone signaling data, residents' travel data is extracted and users' occupation and residence are identified while considering production and life connections as well as time-space constraints. The proposed method is utilized to delimit the Shanghai metropolitan area. The findings indicate that the Shanghai metropolitan area corresponds with its administrative boundaries, which holds significant implications for formulating and implementing development policies as well as serving as a cognitive premise for planning the bus network in this region.
Secondly, the complex network theory is applied to analyze the characteristics of the traffic network in Shanghai metropolitan area from both supply and demand perspectives, aiming to provide insights and guidance for optimizing the bus network in this region.. Specifically, at the demand level, we employed SVD to extract stable travel demand from mobile phone signaling data and construct a comprehensive travel network. Through the analysis of travel node centrality, it is evident that residents' travel activities exhibit distinct characteristics of decentralized agglomeration, clearly demonstrating the distributed polycentric structure of Shanghai's metropolitan area dominated by five new cities. Through analyzing the spatial distribution characteristics of the network, it is discovered that residents' travel exhibits diversified and multi-level features across multiple distance scales. Short-distance travel displays dispersed spatial distribution, while long-distance travel demonstrates obvious centrality and hierarchy. The hierarchical nature of travel demand highlights the necessity for constructing a multi-level public transportation network. At the supply level, bus station and route data are collected from online network maps to construct weighted bus station networks and bus route networks based on Space L and Space R spatial network models. On the one hand, the topological characteristics of the two bus networks are analyzed from a macroscopic perspective, and the overall connectivity in the regional network is investigated. The findings indicate that while the bus network exhibits evident local clustering features, its global connectivity is not strong. On the other hand, the significance of nodes within a network is gauged by multiple centrality indices. The findings indicate that various stations and lines in the network serve distinct functions. A lack of connecting nodes within the network hinders travelers' mobility throughout it.
Finally, a hub-and-spoke multi-level metropolitan bus network optimization layout method is proposed based on the characteristics of the traffic network. The study focuses on three key elements of the network layout: division of spatial structure in the metropolitan area, evaluation and classification of site importance, and identification of hub sites. Firstly, the community detection algorithm is utilized to partition the spatial configuration of the metropolitan area based on travel demand distribution. Secondly, a multi-dimensional evaluation system for bus stations is established, which comprehensively considers the characteristics of network structure, spatial location and activity demand of stations. The weighted TOPSIS algorithm is utilized to calculate the importance of traffic network stations, and clustering algorithm is applied to classify the stations based on their importance. Subsequently, a hub node identification method is established by integrating the significance of stations and central elements, followed by an empirical test on the layout of hub nodes and network optimization for inter -regional bus networks in metropolitan areas. The analysis of optimization results indicates that the inter-regional network can enhance connectivity and accessibility, improve station connection capacity, and increase station utilization efficiency without expanding the network scale. Simultaneously, by simplifying the network structure and shortening line length, it is possible to further reduce waiting times while enhancing bus service reliability and appeal through increased departure frequency and scheduling flexibility.
From a data-driven perspective, this paper utilizes big data to delimit metropolitan area, analyzes the distribution characteristics and rules of residents' travel demand within said area, and optimizes its transit service network based on the concept of networked travel. This represents an active exploration into optimizing theory and methods for metropolitan transit networks.
Key Words: metropolitan area, Characteristics of travel demand, characteristics of bus networks, hub stations identification, bus service network optimization